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Articles written by Liberty Vittert


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  • Opinion: Pollsters haven't learned from 2016 mistakes

    Liberty Vittert, New York Daily News|Updated Nov 7, 2020

    While the next president of the United States remained unknown early Friday, there is clearly one big loser: the pollsters, most of whom were touting the high likelihood of a Joe Biden blowout. So how did they get it so wrong, again, even after the soul searching and methodological recalibrating that followed 2016? The first answer is that public opinion researchers haven’t learned from their past mistakes. First, pollsters almost surely underestimated what is called a “nonresponse bias,” which is a fancy term for sayin...